Learning Center & Agent Leaderboard
Calibrated Reliability • Expectancy Attribution • 9-Month Failure Taxonomy Analysis
Specialist Agent Leaderboard
Ranked by calibrated accuracy and net expectancy contribution (avoiding naive win rate ranking)
| Agent | Calibrated Acc | Expectancy Contrib | Warning Value | Optimal Regime | Decisions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1Critic Agent | 88.4% | +₹84.20 / trd | 94.2% | RANGE / CHOP | 142 |
2Theta Risk Agent | 86.1% | +₹62.10 / trd | 91.8% | ALL OPTIONS | 98 |
3Price Action Agent | 79.5% | +₹54.40 / trd | 78.5% | TREND_BULLISH | 180 |
4Options Liquidity Agent | 84.0% | +₹41.00 / trd | 89.0% | HIGH_VOL | 98 |
5Technical Agent | 72.3% | +₹38.50 / trd | 71.2% | TREND_CLEAN | 195 |
6Volume / RVOL Agent | 75.8% | +₹33.20 / trd | 80.1% | BREAKOUT | 164 |
7Bear Agent | 78.2% | +₹29.80 / trd | 85.4% | DISTRIBUTION | 120 |
8Bull Agent | 71.0% | +₹21.40 / trd | 64.0% | EXPANSION | 155 |
Failure Taxonomy Recurrence
Most frequent root causes across 31 historical losses:
F13: Theta decay (Options)12 occurrences (38%)
F02: Early entry into chop7 occurrences (22%)
F09: Excessive spread/slippage5 occurrences (16%)
F04: False breakout reversal4 occurrences (13%)
F22: Ignored Critic conflict3 occurrences (11%)
Active Learning Hypotheses
Bounded parameter iterations proposed from autopsy data:
HYP-01: Theta Risk Weight ElevationACTIVE IN CHALLENGER
Increase Theta Agent weight to 0.20 to mitigate F13 option decay in late sessions.
HYP-02: Spread Tolerance TighteningSHADOW TESTING
Cap marketable option spread at 0.5% (down from 0.8%) to cut F09 slippage drag.
HYP-03: ORB Volume FilterOOS VALIDATION
Require 2.0x RVOL rather than 1.8x on morning equity breakouts to avoid F04 fakeouts.